please post any subsequent updates here unless they’re huge happenings. i just woke up and half our news front page is updates which is nice but also A Lot and most of these don’t have to be their own thread

  • Papamousse@beehaw.org
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    5
    ·
    1 year ago

    Yes, Poutine highly control GRU with an iron glove, and Wagner is controlled by GRU. It’s a masquerade to kick choigou and guerassimov because they are bad.

    • HanlonsButterknife@beehaw.org
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      21
      ·
      1 year ago

      Wagner opened fire on Russian forces. Shot down helicopters and apparently at least one transport plane. That’s a lot for just playacting. No pretense would be needed to replace a general in wartime. It’s a common occurrence throughout history, and Putin wouldn’t need an excuse either way, since he answers to no one in the Russian government. As to the statement that neither Putin nor Prigozhin are stupid… Well this entire conflict has provided an enormous amount of evidence to the contrary.

    • floofloof@lemmy.ca
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      edit-2
      1 year ago

      It makes both Putin and Prigozhin look bad though. Would they go through this damage to their reputations just for that? And couldn’t Putin just have fired those guys without going through some elaborate pantomime first?

      • LostRedditor@lemmy.ml
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        7
        ·
        1 year ago

        Putin benefited from:

        1. Showed that the largest military group couldn’t complete a coup
        2. No longer need to justify the damage Wagner group done
        3. Shows Russian that he prefer to negotiate rather than bloodshed
        4. Shows international theatre that Russian troops are loyal, peaceful, and follow orders
        5. Identified disloyal government officials who sided with Wagner if any

        And the list goes on

        Wagner head got out of it and terrorisim accusations in the future

        I’m still thinking that it’s not over. Moscow still on high alert.

        • Revan343@lemmy.ca
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          1 year ago
          1. Showed that the largest military group couldn’t complete a coup

          This showed that they wouldn’t, at least under these circumstances, not that they couldn’t.

          I agree with all other points though.

    • Favor@beehaw.org
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      4
      ·
      1 year ago

      I think this is legitimately the commander of the most elite force being fed up that his men are dying in a losing war and his recommendations falling on deaf ears. His “I need ammo” video from a few weeks ago certainly wasn’t part of some grand masquerade either, the city’s supply lines were just destroyed by Ukrainian artillery.

      He’s not demanding Putin out, he’s demanding changes in military leadership to properly supply and command the war forces. He can’t just leave the war at this point, so he had to do something drastic otherwise most of his forces will end up as casualties. It also gives him some setup to actually leave the war if his demands aren’t met.

      All of this “highly controlled” talk has gotten a little hyperbolic given recent events. I think there’s serious reason to think Putin has an at least somewhat loose control of everything except the oligarchs and GRU. He absolutely has the wealth and kompromat that is claimed and there’s no question he’s had several oligarchs assassinated, but beyond that it appears his control and oversight is relatively weak. Probably because competent people are dangerous to give too much power to. Look at Prigozhin, he’s far from being capable of knocking Putin down but he’s still starting to make demands.

      What happens when you give barely competent and corrupt people the majority of the military leadership roles? Ukraine - the best equipped troops were sent in first but the plan barely went beyond that and went completely tits up once those forces got wiped out. They keep outrunning the supply lines of what little they do have. Morale is in free fall.

      I don’t think Putin is close to getting ousted, but for the same reason Russia can’t be more than a barely functional country. There just aren’t enough competent people in powerful positions that he trusts/can control to run a country.