• ATGM 🚀@beehaw.org
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    29
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    Since their leader has no sway with the oligarchic class that effectively holds power in Russia, it seems unlikely he would be able to consolidate power. If somehow he offed Putin it would be more likely to end in civil war IMO than in Prigozhin as head of Russia.

    • GuyDudeman@lemmy.ml
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      14
      ·
      1 year ago

      You’re absolutely right. It will lead to nothing other than civil war. Which is how Putin will spin it - he’ll try to say that since Wagner are nazis, that they were actually working WITH the Ukrainian Nazis and NATO against Russia etc. blah blah blah

      • noodleneedles@beehaw.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        13
        ·
        1 year ago

        As much as I’d love these monsters to go to war with each other, it would mean civil war in the country with the most nuclear warheads, and that makes the prospect something I can’t celebrate.

      • GuyDudeman@lemmy.ml
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        13
        ·
        1 year ago

        Probably not. But Wagner group doesn’t have the manpower to subjugate the entirety of Russia either.

      • ATGM 🚀@beehaw.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        7
        ·
        1 year ago

        The Russian national guard is supposed to be fairly large, and you would think that the air force can operate inside the borders of Russia (for now).

        Do I think they can march on Moscow? No. But I’m also not convinced that this can be outright stopped without compromising the war.