First all the bs with Twitter and Elon, then Reddit having an exodus to Lemmy (not complaining lol), then Twitch. Are we like, in an alternate self healing dimension or something?

  • sharp@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    24
    ·
    1 year ago

    From Cory Doctorow:

    Here is how platforms die: First, they are good to their users; then they abuse their users to make things better for their business customers; finally, they abuse those business customers to claw back all the value for themselves. Then, they die.

    https://www.wired.com/story/tiktok-platforms-cory-doctorow/

    Some of it is because we had a decade of cheap borrowing which has come to an end and many of these platforms were never profitable.

  • effingnerd@beehaw.org
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    17
    ·
    1 year ago

    I have a sinking feeling that these moves are not about money, but more about power and manipulation. If you squeeze these user bases such that the savviest users are forced out, those more likely to ask “Why?” about damn near anything, you will own access to a group of people that can be influenced to think/do/buy whatever the top management and/or majority shareholders want. If you lose a few million users, what does it matter if they were dissidents to your goals?

    • kool_newt@beehaw.org
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      12
      ·
      1 year ago

      This is where my mind goes. Kinda convenient that Twitter and Reddit, both likely particularly dangerous to those seeking power happen to be destroyed seemingly intentionally in the same year ahead of a sure to be insane U.S. election season.

      • burgersc12@sh.itjust.works
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        1 year ago

        Hmm, kinda interesting. A lot of Trump shit was spread on Reddit during the 2016 election, makes sense they would try to get rid of anyone who would oppose that content

    • Maaji@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      5
      ·
      edit-2
      1 year ago

      Not money per se, but the oil of the 21st century: data.

      I guarantee it’s primarily about improving their ability to harvest and sell user data.

      • imbrucy@lemmy.ml
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        4
        ·
        1 year ago

        Exactly. The native apps can gather so much more info than a website and they have to kill third party apps to force people to use the official client.

    • half_built_pyramids@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      1 year ago

      100% power There’s parallels to the writer strikes Netflix ceo got like 2x the money that all the writers are asking for in bonus so it’s not about money It’s something else

        • donio@beehaw.org
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          10
          ·
          edit-2
          1 year ago

          In Timeline-α the Visitors didn’t turn away in disgust and Contact was approved. The Uplift process is well underway, environmental conditions have been stabilized and restoration is progressing well. Space travel is still restricted to the Solar System but Humanity is on track to full Membership. Ambassador Harambe has resumed his duties on the Council.

  • yourgodlucifer@kbin.social
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    10
    ·
    1 year ago

    please can youtube be next?

    I really want to stop using my google account and that’s the only thing keeping me from moving away from it.

  • tallwookie@lemmy.ml
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    10
    ·
    1 year ago

    twitter was overvalued. reddit has made a lot of questionable business decisions over the last decade or so but their recent API change will be their death knell. it feel like a cash grab. I personally only use Twitch to watch Bob Ross reruns :P

  • Kevin Herrera@beehaw.org
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    8
    ·
    1 year ago

    From everything I have observed, businesses are hunkering down for a recession in the next fiscal year. It explains the lay offs, the penny pinching, and puzzling decisions that look like business suicide.

    For services that are free for users, advertising revenue and investment fund raisers are the only thing keeping them afloat. With banks like SVB getting seized by the FDIC, it’s starting to scare investors. Advertisers are seeing the writing on the wall that people will stop spending as much as they used to. We are also probably seeing jacked up pricing across the board because businesses are taking what they can before it’s gone.

    So what’s left? Squeeze users for money. Additionally, shed users that actually cost them money and these tend to be power users. The question, which everyone seems to be assuming is a foregone conclusion, is if this shedding strategy will end up killing the service. In reality, we don’t know but the idealists would sure feel good if someone else ate their market share.

    I’m just glad that federation is picking up steam in the social media space.

    • Otakeb@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      7
      ·
      edit-2
      1 year ago

      Also what hasn’t been touched on very much in this thread is the increase in interest rates from the Federal Reserve. The money hose has shut off and expansionary business policy won’t work for the foreseeable future even disregarding a recession. All these internet companies have developed and grown in an essentially 0% interest rate environment that rewarded growth beyond all else. With rates increasing, investment in risky companies that may or may not grow is becoming a less attractive option when you can just buy a 5% bond and so I bet a lot of these non-profitable, growth-focused web companies are seeing liquidity dry up and are having to reach profitability to avoid bankruptcy since servicing new debt in this current interest environment is basically impossible without solid cashflow and a clear corporate vision.

      This is leading to all these companies suddenly raising prices, cutting staff, choking competition, and cheaping out to try and break even instead of grow. It’s a paradigm shift.

      • Rickety Thudds@lemmy.ca
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        1 year ago

        Crazy to hear people talking about this stuff out in the wild. Feels like I’m on superstonk, only place I tend to hear anyone connecting these dots.

        • Otakeb@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          1 year ago

          Speaking of superstonk, is there a good superstonk or wsb personalfinance lemmy community? I am subbed to the beehaw finance community, but it’s really not a tube yet and seems to be a bit more economics leaning than pure personal finance or investing.

          The subs I spend a lot of time on were FIRE, financialindependence, wsb, and personal finance and I miss them lol.

          • Rickety Thudds@lemmy.ca
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            2
            ·
            1 year ago

            The Canadian GameStop folks have a community on lemmy.ca, but we are still very few.

            I would like to join a federated wsb community too, if there’s anyone with any integrity willing to run it impartially. Anyone running such a place has a conflict of interest imo, the tendency is moral hazard. At least with single stock communities you know their motive.

    • MyNameIsFred@beehaw.org
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      1 year ago

      I agree with most of what you said. I would say classifying SVB as a seizure is probably not accurate. The FDIC only came in when it was clear SVB was going to fold and in fact insured far more than the 250k per account guaranteed. Mainly to try and stem a run on midsize banks because

      1. Many companies had large holdings, undiversified in these banks

      2. The banks were borderline negligent with how they handled those deposits, sticking them all in “safe” government bonds that ruins liquidity.

      Once the interest rate on the bonds was lower than the base borrowing rate, no one would buy the bonds instead of just buying new bonds with a much higher guaranteed return.

      So, given that, I would say the FDIC instead bailed out the banks. Something they would never do for you or I, or even a business with similar valuation as any of the banks customers.

  • AnagrammadiCodeina@feddit.it
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    6
    ·
    1 year ago

    The reality is that nothing is really dying and nothing is really changing. Twitter is still fully operational and other than a small hit nothing happened. Twitch already did a step back. For Reddit we’ll see but only a really small percentage of reddit is using third party apps.

    • naoseiquemsou@lemmy.ml
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      5
      ·
      1 year ago

      It’s not the services that are dying, but the internet as we used to know.

      Change is natural, but the services are all changing in a way not beneficial forthe users.

    • soiling@beehaw.org
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      1 year ago

      I don’t think it’s fair to say nothing is changing, but “dying” admittedly seems like hyperbole.

      Organizations can die slowly or not at all but still be gravely damaged. They are almost certainly making these moves to capture the least critical (most profitable) portions of their userbases and hunker down for survival. Even if the change is extremely painful, they’re (likely) planning for the specific goal of avoiding total death.

    • dillydogg@lemmy.one
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      1 year ago

      I think the “the internet is dying” perspectives are all incredibly overblown. They aren’t going anywhere anytime soon. I remember all of the “Facebook is dead, I don’t know anyone using Facebook!” posts, but I suspect many here are invested in some index fund that is being pulled upwards by Meta.

      • Gullevek@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        1 year ago

        But how many people are still exchanging facebook contacts? Because I haven’t met anyone anymore …

        • sparx@beehaw.org
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          1 year ago

          A significant point would be that I’ll just find you when I get home if I cared enough about our interaction.

        • dillydogg@lemmy.one
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          1 year ago

          Good point! I suspect it’s a lot more than we think. My parents are definitively still involved in doing this.

          But on the other hand, does exchanging contacts mean anything to Facebook anymore? I don’t think that’s important to their income stream anymore. If the OP meant “these sites are still going strong but aren’t what they were when they began”, then of course I agree.

          • Gullevek@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            0
            ·
            1 year ago

            I was never much into the Facebook thing because I didn’t join it at its peak, but when already most people I would have connected stopped using it.

            But I remember there was a time where when you met someone and wanted to stay in contact you exchanged the facebook info.

            Nowdays its Line.

        • Facebook is big in paintball circles. As much as I hate to say it their format works exceedingly well for organizing and buying/selling. As long as we censor appropriately it’s arguably the best format we’ve had thus far and I’m not sure anyone would be willing to part with it for a new platform.

        • sparx@beehaw.org
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          1 year ago

          In my area (metro big city), the only way to get anything accomplished from an advocacy/fundraising aspect is through facebook. There’s just no alternative unless literally everyone shifts to an alternative that hasn’t been created yet.

  • Pigeon@beehaw.org
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    5
    ·
    1 year ago

    This Lemmy migration does feel like waaaaay more positive of a result than I ever expected from reddit getting worse.

    I’ve always appreciated the idea of the fediverse, but mastodon and the twitter-style of social media has never appealed to me, and Lemmy used to be so tiny and niche, so I didn’t invest much time in it until now. But this sure is nice, comparatively. I’m probably on here too much though!

    • OverfedRaccoon@lemmy.one
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      0
      ·
      edit-2
      1 year ago

      Same. Never cared about Twitter, but I like new internet stuff, so I got on Mastodon. Never used it and forgot about it for years. Came back to it with all the Elon stuff and realized the instance was dead, so I created a new account on another instance to never use. The point is, like you said, Lemmy is something I will actually use if the community continues to grow and sticks around.

      • raiun@beehaw.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        1 year ago

        Mastodon has a place, just isn’t for some people. I found the same problem you had with it. Just like how conversations work better in a Reddit-like style of communicating.

  • comfy@lemmy.ml
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    3
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    Well, while it is surprising it’s all happening within a year or so, it’s not unexpected at all.

    They’re ultimately for-profit companies. They have openly demonstrated the obvious truth that when push comes to shove, users don’t matter to them, at least not as much as money. Our attention was the product.

    These companies have proven time and time again that a quick moneygrab will win over retaining the people who make the site work. capitalism 101 baby.

    • ToastyWaffle@lemmy.ml
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      3
      ·
      1 year ago

      Yep, think of the math like this:

      1000 users that we can get $1 of profit from totalling $1000 profit

      Or 500 users we can get $3 of profit from totalling $1500 profit.

      $1500 > $1000 Therefore it’s a good decision.

      Welcome to the mind of corporate executives

      Source: I work with these dumbasses

  • kamin@lemmy.kghorvath.com
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    3
    ·
    1 year ago

    We’ve reached the end of the VC-funded golden age where they are all now demanding a return on their investment, hence why the screws are now all getting tightened.

    • omarciddo@beehaw.org
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      3
      ·
      1 year ago

      I’m honestly surprised it even got this far. It was just common sense to me, even a decade ago, that companies that burned through VC cash and tried building up user bases with little regard for actual profitability couldn’t possibly keep it up forever.

  • empireOfLove@lemmy.one
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    3
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    All these websites have almost always been net cash flow negative. They bleed venture capital to provide a service below cost in order to build a user base.

    The problem now is interest rates have spiked. Rates have been basically zilch for much of the internet’s history over the past 20+ years, so sites could actually operate for quite some time on super cheap debt that they almost never had to repay. And venture capital firms would just keep pouring money into the “next best thing”.

    Now that debt is rapidly becoming much more expensive to maintain, and those VC investors want their chunk of the pie back in their pockets. And they are going to extract it from every single one of these centralized services by whatever force is necessary. It’s only just getting started, you watch.

    • spoonful@beehaw.org
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      1 year ago

      Note that they are cashflow negative because of expensive advertising features.

      Twitter is pretty cheap to run for base functionality and if you open up dev console and see all of the resources Twitter is requesting its like 90% ad stuff and suggestions.

      • argv_minus_one@beehaw.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        1 year ago

        That’s just bandwidth, though. What about database load? A big part of Lemmy’s growing pains come from slow database queries. It doesn’t take much bandwidth to send you the content, but the server has to do a lot of work to figure out which content to send you.

  • Clbull@beehaw.org
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    1 year ago

    Elon Musk’s buyout of Twitter seemed more like an extremely elaborate shitpost that went horribly wrong. It’s like Musk never intended to buy them in the first place but was legally forced to do so (he tried to back out of the deal beforehand.)

    As for Reddit, that place has been going down the shitter since around 2016. Power users have ruined that site, especially the handful of moderators that control hundreds of subreddits between themselves. Spez is a blithering idiot who has done more to censor and subvert the site than Ellen Pao ever did (ironically, everyone accepted it and didn’t revolt against him because he wasn’t a woman.)

    That being said, I really hope Steve Huffman doubles down on the API changes and kills Reddit as a platform. Nothing would make me happier.

    Twitch and YouTube literally think they’re too big to fall and work actively to fuck over the content creator, when decent competitors like Rumble and Kick are coming along. Mixer could have been decent but Microsoft’s strategy was literally to offer two streamers nine-figure contracts and somehow think this would drive people to their Twitch-clone. At least Rumble and Kick are competently run.

    • EvilColeslaw@beehaw.org
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      0
      ·
      1 year ago

      That being said, I really hope Steve Huffman doubles down on the API changes and kills Reddit as a platform. Nothing would make me happier.

      I think this all depends on their reaction to the blackout planned for the 12th. If Reddit starts taking over the default/large subs that shut down it’s 100% going to crash and burn. Not backing down on their API changes I think is an optimistic 60/40 in favor of Reddit chugging along albeit just a bit crappier for it all. (The 40% being a Digg situation that hopefully blows up their IPO plans and VC funding.)

      • Clbull@beehaw.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        1 year ago

        I can certainly see Reddit’s admins staging a hostile takeover of all large subreddits, banhammering any moderator who takes part in the blackout, and installing their own yes-men.

        But can you imagine the PR shitshow that would occur if Reddit suddenly deposed its most powerful users? Imagine if a major content creator like Linus Tech Tips, SomeOrdinaryGamers, Penguinz0 or Asmongold jumped on the ‘fuck Reddit’ bandwagon. It would be a major PR boost for any competitor.

      • xradeon@lemmy.one
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        1 year ago

        Maybe I’m pessimistic but I have little to no faith that the blackout, especially if only 2 days for some subreddits, will have any impact at all. Most likely what will happen is everyone will just scroll like normal, get bored with no content and do something else. They’ll come back a few days later and everything will be normal. Most people probably really don’t even care, unfortunately. :/

        For reddit itself, I think they’re going with game plan of throwing this shit out there and then going radio silent knowing that nothing is really going to happen. For them, no PR is probably the best move really.

        • donio@beehaw.org
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          1 year ago

          I think a lot of the old core group will actually end up leaving by the end of this business. The question is will it matter. Can the site be successful as it transform itself into an also-ran tiktok-clone?

          The good news is that those of us who move on won’t have to worry about it anymore.

          • BOMBS@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            1 year ago

            I’m treating reddit like an ex. Good luck, but not my problem anymore. If it succeeds, good for them. If it doesn’t, I probably won’t find out. I’ve got other things I rather focus on.

          • xradeon@lemmy.one
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            1 year ago

            The good news is that those of us who move on won’t have to worry about it anymore.

            I’ll drink to that!

      • Clbull@beehaw.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        1 year ago

        Rumble is “that place which welcomed Andrew Tate and Sneako” after they both got banned from mainstream social media. They’re the right-wing free-speech platform.

        Kick was formed by a former Twitch streamer (TrainwrecksTV) cause he thought that Twitch went too far in banning gambling streams. Plus he got the backing of Stake, a cryptocurrency-fuelled slot machine website, who are the main investors bankrolling his company.