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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • I’d say more “select from” than “churn out”. It’s not about generating a hypothesis, it’s about having a collection of hypotheses and deciding which should be your default until additional evidence is provided.

    Hanlon’s razor says “Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity”, and “adequately” is pulling at least as much weight as “never”. If stupidity becomes a less adequate explanation, nothing stops you from considering malice as an alternative.

    People use things wrong all the time, sometimes the vast majority of the time (e.g. “literally”). Just because people use a concept pseudologically doesn’t make it intrinsically pseudological.


  • But razors aren’t supposed to be logic in the first place. They’re not objective analytical tools to arrive at a conclusion, because they weren’t designed to be. They’re framing tools to help establish an initial hypothesis.

    Occam’s razor doesn’t claim that the simplest explanation is true, it merely says it’s the most practical assumption, all else being equal. If additional data provides more support for a more complicated explanation, Occam’s really doesn’t require you to cling to the simpler one.

    Similarly Hanlon’s razor doesn’t claim that stupidity is universally a better explanation than malice, only that is the most practical assumption, all else being equal. It does not require you to ignore patterns of behavior that shift the likelihood toward malice.


  • I mean sure, but my point is that he’s a sellout, not MAGA. He didn’t defend Trump, he defended his bag. It’s still bad but it’s not the same thing.

    Then again, fuck, how many songs/skits do they have centered around breaking up? I wouldn’t be totally surprised if they spin this into a reunion thing after the heat dies. I can visualize the conversation like the show never ended:

    “Dude, Kage, you know I love you. But that was some provocative shit you just said, and I don’t disagree. But I am on the line for tens of millions, with an M, contractually obligated US dollars. Dinero, Rage. Let’s just take a little breaky-poo, circle back after pay day, and use all that cash to double down on the righteousness. I’m gonna need you to take the heat, but it’s all gonna pay off in the end. We can’t lose! Two Kings?”

    Maybe it’s just cope, but the recurring theme of betrayal indicates to me that either it was always an abusive relationship, or that the treachery is at least potentially performative.








  • As an American-born white male, I’m staying. If all the sane people flee the country, what does that leave behind? A bunch of right wing whack jobs with the biggest military in the world. You think our domestic problems are going to stay domestic? If we don’t stay and stand up to this, it’s going to spread worldwide anyway.

    Not saying to not get your ducks in a row just in case, but I don’t think running is going to save you for very long. If there’s going to be a civil war, I’d rather our side actually have soldiers.