538 isn’t what it once was, they were purchased a few elections ago, and Nate Silver took his algorithms with him when he left he started the Silver Bulletin. He says it’s too soon to make predictions. https://www.natesilver.net/p/7-quick-thoughts-on-the-latest-harris
According to to polls aggregated by 538, she’s doing better than Biden, but still behind Trump.
Polls. Do. Not. Matter.
I’ve heard it both ways
https://www.mediaite.com/news/kamala-harris-overtakes-trump-in-first-major-poll-since-biden-exit-from-race/
That’s great, but it’s also a national poll. It doesn’t account for Trump’s electoral college advantage.
538 isn’t what it once was, they were purchased a few elections ago, and Nate Silver took his algorithms with him when he left he started the Silver Bulletin. He says it’s too soon to make predictions. https://www.natesilver.net/p/7-quick-thoughts-on-the-latest-harris