After 250 rolls, 1 popped up 27 times. Or roughly 11% of the time.

I did this same test with all 17 D20’s I have and 2 D20’s from people in my DnD group.

This one was far and away the worst though I had more than I’d like with averages under 10.

Edit:

Here's the stats for the ones I tested

This excludes the data for the 2 D20’s from the people in my DnD group as they didn’t want that data shared outside of the group chat.

  • general_kitten@sopuli.xyz
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    2 年前

    A set of 250 throws with average of 9.56 in a fair d20 has a probability of about 0.5% to occur, so in 17 sets there is about a 8% chance to happen if you dice were fair according to binomial distribution. This means there is a 92% chance that your die is unfair. usually a confidence of >95% is needed for science but for home i think is enough to declare a dice unfair.

    This calculation only says if the die is unfair, not how much unfair.

  • eldain@feddit.nl
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    2 年前

    250 rolls is really low for a d20 test, not enough to spread out the randomness over all surfaces. 1000 is also on the low side, but has more chance to indicate a bias.

  • Donjuanme@lemmy.world
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    2 年前

    Very interesting statistical data set you have there, I’d be interested in replicating the outliers (particularly that 27 1’s die) and if it isn’t poorly shapen, don’t reveal the follow-up stats and force the “cursed die” onto special rolls/annoying people in the party. If it is poorly shaped get rid of it imo,

  • tyler@programming.dev
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    2 年前

    Oof that’s horrendous. Like the average is still around the same but the consequences are so so much worse

  • neptune@dmv.social
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    2 年前

    I should open an Etsy shop and sell shitty d20s and not tell anyone. April fools!

  • nifty@lemmy.world
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    2 年前

    Now I think you should test if averages hold consistent between same sided die from different manufacturers. I think another poster is right that the shape matters, so if the die from the same caster are molded roughly the same, then they’ll present with similar averages.