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Cake day: June 18th, 2023

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  • Both of these are “without prejudice”, meaning the gov can refile charges if they get their act together on legally appointing a US attorney with the advice and consent of the Senate.

    It’s not completely clear, but these dismissals could moot the other pending motions to dismiss, including the vindictive prosecution claims, even though those could result in “with prejudice” dismissal.

    The government can appeal these rulings. They have done so in other invalid US attorney cases.

    If they refile on Comey, he will argue that the statute of limitations has run out. The government will argue that they get a 6 month extension under a statute. Judge Currie already stated today that Comey’s position is correct, but I don’t know if that opinion binds whatever future judge gets the case when it’s refiled.

    Letitia James still has more time on the statute of limitations, so she’s in a worse position.

    It might be hard to actually get these cases refiled. Halligan was appointed using an invalid procedure precisely because there’s no way she could pass Senate confirmation. Every other prosecutor of any competence has preferred to get fired rather than charge these cases. The order today gives the judges the power to appoint an interim US attorney again, and if they do so, that one could stop any prosecution. And finally, the cases would have to pass grand jury scrutiny again. We know the Comey charges barely scraped by on 14 votes the first time.


  • It’s a real geopolitical problem for Russia. Russia got screwed by geography in terms of natural harbors that don’t freeze over in the winter. It’s why they’ve always had a crap navy, going way back into the imperial days.

    Right now, the Russian Navy is based in Murmansk (brrrr. limited routes to get out into Atlantic) and the Black Sea. The Black Sea is bad for them because Turkey (a NATO member) makes sure to maintain total control of what passes through the Bosphorous.

    Part of what Russia did in Syria during the civil war netted them a lease on a base on the Mediterranean. That could have had some use for power projection, but I think they lost it when a certain opthalmologist was expelled.

    Anyhow, it’s hilarious when the trolls posing as MAGA Americans bring this up, because real Americans just take their total abundance of ports that don’t freeze over completely for granted. That’s why I point out secondary, less busy port cities on the Gulf of Mexico, where the water is actually pretty warm (instead of just not freezing over). Just to highlight how good the US has it. Even if we were forced to give up Norfolk and Coronado, there are plenty of other suitable places we could have naval bases.












  • The soybeans are not solely grown for export. They also fix nitrogen into the soil for the massive corn crop. And as to the corn, I think some of it is exported, but a lot of it is going to animal feed and high fructose corn syrup. So there’s a vector for food price impacts, particularly at the cheap and processed end of the domestic food supply.