• 0 Posts
  • 61 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
cake
Cake day: July 5th, 2023

help-circle


  • (TL;DR: It would take >10,000 of the satellites described in the video just to move the two data centres studied in this paper to space)

    I remember that video (been watching Scott Manley on-and-off since his KSP Interstellar series)

    He’s right that you can cool 20kW just fine and I agree that 100kW is still very doable with today’s engineering. Let’s assume that a MW is also within reason, though I think we’re starting to stretch practicality there, as we’re now talking about about 2500m2 of radiator if I’m remembering right. That would be 25 radiator groups, each one 5 times the size of an ISS group. I bet we could manage that with a few years of development.

    The two datacenters that were studied in the linked article were 36MW and 169MW. So just to replace those two you would need 200 of those pushing-the-boundaries-of-human-ability satellites. Or, if you look at the Starlink-sized satellites that Scott Manley was referencing, you’d need OVER 10,000. And that’s just two data centres in one state in one country in the world.

    I don’t think its “impossible”, or that “it can’t be cooled”. I think that focusing on the possibility of space data centres takes attention away from the harm that terrestrial data centres are causing today. “It’s okay if we build these on Earth right now, because we’ll move them into space later”? There’s nothing as permanent as a temporary solution.

    Let’s force these companies to go to space by charging them exorbitant amounts of money to build terrestrial data centres to compensate for the effects that they have here. What would it cost to cool the areas around those data centres back down again? 100 million? A billion?

    (And BTW, I’m a software engineer that’s been working in the AI space since 2018, before LLMs went crazy. I’m optimistic about AI in general. I’m pessimistic about companies that are clearly dumping externalities out into the general public.)



  • The issue with space-based data centres is dissipating that heat, though. The ISS radiators can dissipate less than 100kW and they are the largest in space today, IIRC. Current land-based data centres already generate 100s of MW of heat. US Datacentres alone already consume multiple TWh of electricity/year.

    I’m all for space-based data centres. But I don’t believe anyone who says they’re coming soon. One small space data centre would be 10 ISSs—the largest space architecture project to date.

    I think what people who are pooh-poohing on space data centres are concerned about isn’t the literal heat issue, but that it serves the same purpose as the “Hyperloop”: not a real practicality, but serves to focus lawmakers attention in a direction that ignores a practical issue (with Hyperloop it was away from California HSR, which now has its own problems, but at least it was feasible)


  • The primary issue is that there’s a limit to how much energy you can get out based on the difference in temperature between the cold fluid (liquid or gas) and the hot fluid. With data centres it’s maybe 20°C? Based on that assumption and the Carnot Theorem you get a maximum work extraction efficiency of about 6-7%.

    Unfortunately, in the data centres they obey the laws of thermodynamics.

    It would work better in places that get colder, but unfortunately places like that don’t tend to have as much available electricity (or infrastructure).

    An aside:

    We are starting to run up against fundamental laws of how much energy is required to do a certain amount of computation. i.e. In order to do a computation that moves a system from a state X to another state Y, there is a minimum amount of entropy change. That entropy change requires a certain amount of energy based on thermodynamics, known as the Landauer Limit.

    We were already only about a billion times less efficient than the limit in 2012. I would wager we’ve improved computation per watt by 1-2 orders of magnitude since then. Which means we might only be 107 or so off of the limit. That sounds like a lot, but when you think about how fast we’re improving…






  • Common pattern - the acqui-hire.

    “These people are working in a problem area that we want to do better in. We’ll buy their company for their expertise.”

    Whether they keep existing products or not is not a major factor in the decision and gets evaluated later. Often, because they want the people working on something new the existing products are put into maintenance mode or shut down.

    Source: Have been acquired for both talent and for product. Seen both.






  • At least Canada has some precedent of courts ruling against this sort of thing. Most of the precedent I’ve found related to the Quebec Labour Code, so it might not be the same with Nova Scotia, but the jist of how the Supreme Court has ruled is: Employers have a right to cease operations, but if that happens in the “prohibited period” when union negotiations are ongoing, that violates the right of association, and the employees can be entitled to damages.

    I don’t know how the facts of this case will line up with NS law, but I would think that given that there’s a Charter right underpinning these ideas that they probably have some kind of case here. The burden of proof will possibly be on Ubisoft to show that it was a “normal” decision, based on my quick reading of some of the precedent.



  • I work primarily in “classical” AI and have been working with it on-and-off for just under 30 years now. Programmed my first GAs and ANNs in the 90s. I survived Prolog. I’ve had prolonged battles getting entire corporate departments to use the terms “Machine Learning” and “Artificial Intelligence” correctly, understand what they mean, and how to start thinking about them to incorporate them correctly into their work.

    Thus why I chose the word “LLM” in my response, not “AI”.

    I will admit that I assumed that by “AI” Jimmy Carr was referring to LLMs, as that’s what most people mean these days. I read the TL;DW by @[email protected] but didn’t watch the original content. If I’m wrong in that assumption and he’s referring to classical AI, not LLMs, I’ll edit my original post.