• 0 Posts
  • 426 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
cake
Cake day: July 1st, 2023

help-circle
  • Yes there are laws against participating in espionage.

    Although a board of directors/shareholders doesn’t necessarily have to care about it being illegal. It just looks really, really bad that the CEO of the company they have invested in and help run is having an affair with what turned out to be an actual spy.

    When the company looks bad, the company loses money. Haung’s entire job is to make the company more money. They can try to force him out just on the merits that he has damaged the company stock value.






  • ?

    Fucking yes it would be better to put hundreds of billions of dollars every year into curing cancer/HIV/ Type 1 diabetes/alzheimers, literally any disease. Curing a major illness like those would actively help hundreds of thousands or millions of people around the world every year.

    What does AI help? My fucking manager in sending cryptic emails that raise more questions than answers?

    Dump a few hundred billion into disease research, or fusion power, or just into housing for all of us.







  • If you have a functioning brain, LLM’s are just a really fancy text generator that gets facts correct about 50% of the time and can be useful for writing emails if you spend the time to proofread the email before slapping the send button. It’s also fairly good at generating functional boilerplate for programming projects. Really handy for small projects. However, LLM code, in my rather limited experience, quickly becomes a trap on more complex projects because the LLM has no capacity to grasp the scope of a project and frequently leads to spaghetti code that is utterly unmanageable. This may be operator error on my part, or just because I’m using local models that are limited by my machine.

    The rest of society view a computer as a magic box where their favorite TikTok’s live, and thus are terrified that a machine can imitate human language well, and are too brain rotted to bother proofreading or fact checking a goddamn thing, so they assume LLM’s can accurately and plainly articulate the whole of human knowledge to you at a whim.

    I am at a point where if I hear anyone saying how smart “AI” is, I just assume they have a room temperature IQ and lack any critical thinking skills whatsoever. It’s not an AI, it lacks any intelligence whatsoever. An LLM simply generates sentences based on what was fed to it. It has no capacity to understand the words it’s saying. It just knows that based on these tokens, the next set of tokens should be X, Y, and Z. It’s a Chinese room, It’s fucking autocorrect on crack. It’s a waste of time and resources for 90% of things it’s used for.


  • That is exactly the reason LLMs are in a bubble that is practically doomed.

    The horse to vehicle transition is actually a good analogy. When society moved away from horses, people bought cars. The companies that sold cars, if they weren’t completely incompetent, made instant profit off the sale of the vehicle. The oil companies made profit off the sale of oil as a lubricant and oil byproducts as the fuel. Companies and private individuals that used to use horses for transportation of goods and for production had real benefits they could see instantly. A horse requires large amounts of food that must be stored or purchased regulars. It is an animal that has physical limits to what it can do. A horse can only travel so far in a day before needing food, water, and rest. The amount of goods you can transport via horse team is limited by this. A car or truck needs fuel like a horse needs food, but refueling takes minutes not hours, and a single engine can replace entire teams of horses, making the transport of bulk goods far more efficient. The car can use the exiting roads for horses, less efficiently overall but still more so and faster than a horse. This efficiency and speed of transport had real benefits seen on paper practically overnight and led to massive infrastructure investment to take advantage of the vehicles advantages.

    An LLM can initiate human writing patterns. That’s it. That’s all they are good for. It requires massive infrastructure advancement to even begin to work, and can only really replace communication and other largely writing tasks like programming. Although with any skilled task, even customer service, there still needs to be a human making decisions and ensuring the output matches the goals. So where a single engine can replaced 10 horses that you can then sell or dispose of because you bought an engine, an AI can replace a few people, but you still need so many experts to verify its doing the job. Imagine if every truck had to have a horse walk next to it to makes sure it was doing the horse’s job correctly.

    By the time investment in roads and fuel infrastructure were made, vehicles had already been shown to outperform horses in every way. Yet LLM companies are putting the cart before the horse. They’ve invested heavily in the infrastructure for their products, and haven’t yet found any role in which they are more profitable or better than a human. So they’ve partially reduced the cost of their services and are operating at a loss. Can they sustain that until every programmer or customer service representative has died? Highly unlikely. If LLM companies fail tomorrow, 99% of the staff that was downsized can be rehired fairly rapidly. It will lead to a massive economic shift that will almost certainly trigger a depression, but the total number of humans that can still do the job the old way is practically unchanged. Whereas after over a hundred years of vehicle dominance, you’d be hard pressed to find enough horses on the entire planet to replace every vehicle in a country the size of America.




  • Actually the best argument would be that the Soviets didn’t raise holy hell about it being fake.

    Apollo 11 was able to be tracked by radio the entire trip to the moon. The radio transmissions and The television broadcast was unencrypted over plain radio. I’m sure the Soviets were able to verify the entire mission in real time. If there was even a hint that the moon landing was fake, the Soviets would have been throwing it in the US’s face the instant it happened.