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Cake day: July 1st, 2023

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  • Actually the best argument would be that the Soviets didn’t raise holy hell about it being fake.

    Apollo 11 was able to be tracked by radio the entire trip to the moon. The radio transmissions and The television broadcast was unencrypted over plain radio. I’m sure the Soviets were able to verify the entire mission in real time. If there was even a hint that the moon landing was fake, the Soviets would have been throwing it in the US’s face the instant it happened.









  • Looks like there’s a starlink launch later today, and then a satellite resupply mission, both on Falcon 9s. Which is good because the falcon 9 is an incredibly reliable launch platform that should boost investor confidence.

    And then on Thursday they’re gonna blow up another starship.

    So we’ll see it tick up today and tomorrow, and then probably plummet again when investors see roughly $1,000,000,000 get turned into literal ash on livestream.

    Who’s ready to watch the rollercoaster?


  • AI is horrible for charting.

    My wife is a Respiratory Therapist. They rolled out AI charting a few months ago and she tried it once. She spent just as much time proof reading the AI notes as it would have taken to write them herself.

    The main problems are that medical notes are critical to patient care, and are legal documents that can and will be used in the event of legal action. If you’re using AI to document patient care, you’re opening yourself up to potentially disastrous miscommunication that can very possibly get someone killed or have their life altered. And then if someone does die, now the court can see that you documented things incorrectly and could hold you responsible.


  • The first time Samsung and micron colluded on dram pricing was in the early 2000s when money was also falling from the sky due to high demand.

    The fines they were charged with were a fraction of the profits they gained from price fixing.

    It’s almost like having a limited number of manufacturers and a huge demand spike is actually an incentive for price fixing because they can work together to increase profits artificially.

    I don’t think you really understand how price fixing and near monopoly markets work. With monopolies and near monopolies, there’s no real downside to colluding on prices, especially in the US where fines are basically guaranteed to be less than profits, and when your company is not headquartered in the US and can’t be forcibly broken apart by the government. If you’re the only company, or one of 3, then you can set whatever price you want. As long as the conspirators agree to pricing, no one will bat an eye at claims of high demand or supply chain issues because all your conspirators also have similarly high pricing.

    Usually I say economists are insane cultists. But I really think you could benefit from reading some material on macroeconomics.



  • The limiting factor for space data centers is absolutely not the cost to build them. The AI industry has already proven that they will burn the GDP of a small country just to have an LLM that shits out slightly better text that has coin flip level odds of being true.

    The limiting factor here is one of thermodynamics. A travel mug for coffee works because it has a near vacuum between the inner lining and the outer shell. Vacuums are fantastic insulation because there’s no atoms there to transfer heat away. Very useful if you want hot coffee for a few hours. Space is a big vacuum, and data centers are giant heat generators. You’re basically putting a computer in a perfect insulation medium. It’s really stupid.




  • Make em get practice insurance just like doctors and nurses, and I think lawyers are also insured for their jobs.

    Most professions where you hold the future of another human in your hands require some kind of insurance, except for police. Yet a cop can mistakenly arrest you, drag your name through the newspapers and the mud, hell even shoot you for no good reason, and then walk away like that didn’t just ruin your life just as badly as a surgeon cutting off the wrong leg, or a nurse overdosing you cause they fucked up the math.

    Make cops carry insurance. If they can’t afford the premiums or get dropped for being to risky, well then they can go pound sand.


  • Great theory, but the Falcon 9 is already a proven design and most of SpaceX’s R&D is going to the starship, which uses completely different engines and which has blown up or disintegrated just as much as its successfully gotten above the atmosphere. It’s also never actually completed an orbit or delivered a gram of anything to orbit.

    Starlink is a useful tool to boost launch numbers precisely so investors think things are better than they actually are. Originally SpaceX burned through government and private investor money. Now that they’ve blown through the entire Artemis budget the interim director of nasa gave them through blatant corruption, and launched even more billion dollar fireworks using private investor money, they are desperately trying to convince the public for more fireworks funds.