I mean that would be at least partially more true if it were a sequence of bets and results but in this case it’s a single bet which will take forever to resolve so all of that analysis is useless. I’m sorry it just is.

What betting markets give is a sentiment of who people (who bet) think will win, which is something, but it’s different from predicting who will actually win. Humans are crap at predicting shit, especially humans that bet and especially humans that bet in political outcomes.

A huge portion of bets are very biased because of political “teams” and beliefs. If people suck at betting in sports events I would argue they suck even more at betting at political events where their identify and beliefs and even more at play.

Polling already gives you flawed data, betting markets even more so.

If Trump wins my faith in humanity is fully gone

Might as well accelerate climate change before we fuck Earth any further. We don’t deserve this planet.

Same

I was never really on Twitter (had an account that I never used). Tried mastodon recently to fill in some gaps from lemmy but there’s really no good way that I found, to follow interesting/active/popular people

If anyone knows what I did wrong I’d gladly take the suggestion (tbf I didn’t really bother to search but if you reply to me other people will also read it)

There’s still massive amounts of air pressure changes Those can definitely lift some smaller rocks

Fuck, why is it that almost everything that is bad in the US can be traced back to Reagan. It’s unbelievable

The point of the post is that if Trump had said that he wanted to kill every immigrant at gun point, there wouldn’t be any jokes or memes about it, because it’s a dangerous statement that would be taken seriously by anyone.

By making memes about him saying immigrants are eating dogs and cats, then we are “signaling” that what he said isn’t terrifyingly dangerous, we’re taking it as ridiculous and funny and not to be worried about. And that plays a role in normalizing all the stupid shit he has been saying.

As a disclaimer, Trump is a piece of shit and I am DEFINITELY NOT saying both sides are bad (I fucking hate that argument). But the argument in the post is a valid one. Of course there are also some upsides to the memes. First they are funny but they also cause those words to reach out to more people which hopefully has an effect in terms of voting against him

I’ve had iPhone for years and I can’t remember the last time I didn’t use chrome with it

Never rooted my phones either. It’s definitely not blocked

I could continue arguing why you are wrong but it’s very obviously not worth it

From the up and downvotes most people agree with me and with the truth

This isn’t the gotcha you think it is

Israel is supposedly a democratic state. If your only argument is that literally a terrorist organization is just as bad then what does that say about Israel?

Ok I guess

But ChatGPT is way too polite for such a comment

Just because you disagree doesn’t mean I am a bot

But you are welcome to explain your logic (if any) if you are interested in actually having a civilized discussion

His audience is mostly kids yes but not all of them.

His content can and is too annoying for a lot of people and that’s fine but it’s also entertaining to a lot of other people. I’m sure that you’ve had the situation where the most famous band, sport, food etc isn’t something you like. And that’s totally ok. It turns out we kind like different things. I’d argue it’s a good thing.

Also people severely underestimate him just because they don’t like his content or for some other reason. Pretty much every big YouTuber will agree that he is extremely good and optimizing the algorithm and that’s not an easy thing. If it were everyone would be doing it and the truth is that not a lot of people get close to his success.

Some of his videos are just for shits and giggles but a lot of them in does give a ton of money to people in need. Some people dislike that he does this for his channel and don’t like him for it. However the truth is that in the end he gave more money to people in need than everyone in this comment section combined.

I mean yes but isn’t that being extremely pedantic?

Take Mr Beast or an hypothetical example. Give 1M to strangers in need, record it, upload it to YouTube make 4M on ads and other sponsors (content is still free). Pocket 2M, make second video where he gives 2M to other strangers in need. Record it, upload it to YouTube etc etc

Now I agree with you, philosophically it’s best to give without expecting or earning anything in return. But is that really the best outcome? Isn’t it actually arguably better to publicize it and with it reach and help way more people?

For me the answer is clear. I’d rather have someone record and even make money of this type of content (as long as there’s no exploitation or slimy shit) than have that same someone not do that and instead only help a fraction of the people. I’ll argue that the people being helped don’t give a crap about it, so it feels a bit patronizing to say that they shouldn’t be helped because of X or Y

This isn’t specific to Mr Beast, I don’t even know the details of the recent scandal. I just see this argument everywhere and I feel it’s very naive

Can you name the chapter specifically? I guess it will spoil a lot of the first book no?

That’s not really true.

People that don’t make decisions on ill informed beliefs don’t bet at all as it’s just a money waste. People that make bad decisions tend to bet more and go into debt because of it.

Betting odds are not a prediction by any means. The betting houses don’t even try to predict anything because they know it is a fools game. Instead its just a sentiment tracker of very small subset of the population.

For example if tomorrow I would bet 100 Billion for Harris to win the election she would suddenly show up as the heavy favorite when nothing about her campaign has changed. Instead the bets for that particular site would be heavily skewed and they would increase odds for other options to reduce risk, while at the same time basically bullying any further bets on Harris.

Don’t forget that Harris still hasn’t been officially nominated. There’s some % being left out there

Not to defend the democrats too much but even if they do it, the SCOTUS is heavily biased against them which means that they would get heavily punished.

Also at the least the liberal wing of the SCOTUS voted against this, unlike the republican appointed judges.

So there’s clearly one side pushing for this and one trying to prevent it.

I played through the whole game with my gf and didn’t see nor read anything that would indicate that.

Regardless of if you play, solo or with up to 4 people there are 4 characters in your party. Your main character can be one of the predefined ones or not. You will probably have/want a mix of both.

First play through will take more than 100h and you will still have plenty to see for subsequent playtroughs. It’s literally impossible to see all of it first time regardless of how you play.

Just get it, it’s not just a GOTY, it’s one of the best games in a long while.

You wrote all of that and left out the one in the picture

It’s a zip up hoodie

Oh I loved Hades so I’ll be getting this very soon. Maybe once I’m done with Sekiro this will be the next I’ll play.

At this point I’ll never finish Nier Replicant…