Tehran reportedly described the move as a "strategic gesture of gratitude" for Beijing and Moscow’s continued diplomatic and economic support throughout the current war with Israel and the United States.
In addition, while hatred for Iran is high in the Arab gulf, there is very intense hatred for Israel, amongst Sunnis as well. Given that Israel started this war and after what they did and continue to do to Gaza, I dont expect joining the war on the side of Israel would be very palateable to the public in the Arab gulf.
From a logical view, the US has every reason to stop the conflict and declare an end to the war. As others pointed out the war math doesn’t add up because modern 21st Century drone warfare can produce effective drones at 5 figures a unit and US interceptor technology produces missiles at 7 figures a unit. A child can already decide who will run out first. Readers will also know there are hypersonic missiles, and a combination of technologies that have already defeated the so called Iron Dome.
Iran on the other hand has operated with mostly a “tit-for-tat” approach, responding in kind to aggression and then de-escalating. And this pattern is simple enough for the world public to make out and appreciate. With the US potentially disrupting the economy and daily life of Iran and Iranians in general, I think the logic follows that Iran will simply do the very same thing to the US.
Trump has shifted a great deal of US wealth into the petro-states as a deposit box of sorts, and in turn, the petro-states have turned a lot of that money back into the US by way of investment. Iran is clearly aware of this - as would be casual readers - and they’re just disrupting that loop with devastating awareness.
there are hypersonic missiles, and a combination of technologies that have already defeated the so called Iron Dome.
I knew Iran had been breaching air defences like the iron dome but didn’t realise they had dipped into their hypersonic supply yet. Would you happen to have any sources or videos? I was under the impression they were saving the more advanced stuff like the Fattah-1 still and had been making do with short-medium range ballistic missiles and shahed swarms.
I’ll walk that comment back. I’ve only heard of suspicions or allegations of the use of hypersonic missiles. But so far I haven’t come across anything more concrete.
I think the current understanding is that Iran is leading with all their cheap missiles since American and Israeli defenses will only last a few weeks of sustained attacks. The calculus works out in Iran’s favor to slowly introduce their more sophisticated arms as US/Israeli defenses slowly get overwhelmed.
Also another point to make, in cynical fashion, Trump remains in power as because he brings profit to all of the correct gate keepers in American politics. If enough disruption to that petro-state to US loop occurs to shake the rattle the US economy, will the US voter finally awaken to its own self-interest and engage the system of checks and balances that the Americans are so fond of mentioning? Even outside readers can see that the US Justice system is corrupted, the use of dark money and the rise of the US billionaires are uncontrollable, and the power within that country is out of balance.
I’ll point out the obvious that the “average” American voter is actually poor, lower class, and on the verge of financial ruin on a day-to-day basis. Will a multipolar world order, a group of states, have the audacity to re-ignite this mentally beat down US public. I think the world, and even Iran, can benefit from that scenario.
Can they succeed?
If the status quo continues, US dysfunction with its out of control billionaire classes will continue to lash at the world itself with their excesses.
A few have large Shia populations, and may have revolutions of their own before this is over, which is the opposite of what the US & Israel want.
In addition, while hatred for Iran is high in the Arab gulf, there is very intense hatred for Israel, amongst Sunnis as well. Given that Israel started this war and after what they did and continue to do to Gaza, I dont expect joining the war on the side of Israel would be very palateable to the public in the Arab gulf.
From a logical view, the US has every reason to stop the conflict and declare an end to the war. As others pointed out the war math doesn’t add up because modern 21st Century drone warfare can produce effective drones at 5 figures a unit and US interceptor technology produces missiles at 7 figures a unit. A child can already decide who will run out first. Readers will also know there are hypersonic missiles, and a combination of technologies that have already defeated the so called Iron Dome.
Iran on the other hand has operated with mostly a “tit-for-tat” approach, responding in kind to aggression and then de-escalating. And this pattern is simple enough for the world public to make out and appreciate. With the US potentially disrupting the economy and daily life of Iran and Iranians in general, I think the logic follows that Iran will simply do the very same thing to the US.
Trump has shifted a great deal of US wealth into the petro-states as a deposit box of sorts, and in turn, the petro-states have turned a lot of that money back into the US by way of investment. Iran is clearly aware of this - as would be casual readers - and they’re just disrupting that loop with devastating awareness.
I knew Iran had been breaching air defences like the iron dome but didn’t realise they had dipped into their hypersonic supply yet. Would you happen to have any sources or videos? I was under the impression they were saving the more advanced stuff like the Fattah-1 still and had been making do with short-medium range ballistic missiles and shahed swarms.
I’ll walk that comment back. I’ve only heard of suspicions or allegations of the use of hypersonic missiles. But so far I haven’t come across anything more concrete.
I think the current understanding is that Iran is leading with all their cheap missiles since American and Israeli defenses will only last a few weeks of sustained attacks. The calculus works out in Iran’s favor to slowly introduce their more sophisticated arms as US/Israeli defenses slowly get overwhelmed.
i saw a video of what looked like a hypersonic missile but it could be that it wasnt
That’s fair.
Also another point to make, in cynical fashion, Trump remains in power as because he brings profit to all of the correct gate keepers in American politics. If enough disruption to that petro-state to US loop occurs to shake the rattle the US economy, will the US voter finally awaken to its own self-interest and engage the system of checks and balances that the Americans are so fond of mentioning? Even outside readers can see that the US Justice system is corrupted, the use of dark money and the rise of the US billionaires are uncontrollable, and the power within that country is out of balance.
I’ll point out the obvious that the “average” American voter is actually poor, lower class, and on the verge of financial ruin on a day-to-day basis. Will a multipolar world order, a group of states, have the audacity to re-ignite this mentally beat down US public. I think the world, and even Iran, can benefit from that scenario.
Can they succeed?
If the status quo continues, US dysfunction with its out of control billionaire classes will continue to lash at the world itself with their excesses.
I’ve certainly felt pretty fuckin ignited these last few days. I feel alive and full of hope
These do seem to be weeks where decades should happen, and I don’t see how we could ever go back to status quo ante.