The United Arab Emirates and Qatar are privately lobbying allies to help them persuade President Donald Trump to reach for an off-ramp that would keep US military o…
The US hasn’t been in an actual war since Vietnam. There’s a lot of mythology that’s been built up that leads people to think that American power is invincible, but now we’re seeing it actually tested by an adversary that can fight back. I don’t think we’ll be seeing any triumph of the will here. Material reality always wins and it’s not on America’s side this time around.
Iraq 1 and 2? Afghanistan? Anyway we see how that turned out. And I’m not sure either state is better off, despite USA planning ineptitude. I just pray you’re right, and you may well be.
These aren’t even remotely comparable. Iraq had 70s Soviet technology, while Afghanistan didn’t even have that. These are precisely the kinds of wars the US military is configured for where the opponent can’t hit back. Iran is technologically on par with the US, and even surpasses it in some areas like hypersonic weapons. The US has no equivalent to Iranian drones either which it’s forced to intercept with multi million dollar missiles. We can already see how Iran has been able to hit US assets all over the region, and the US can’t do a thing about it.
If you look at the size of Iran it becomes quite obvious that the US can’t possibly bomb enough of it to even make a dent in Iran’s industrial capacity. This is going to be a war of attrition with Iran fighting on its home turf while the US is forced to ship what meager weapons it’s still able to produce all the way across the ocean.
Not to mention that Iran also has land routes to both Russia and China that go through friendly territory. So it will be getting all the material support it needs, the same way Ukraine currently gets support from NATO.
The US hasn’t been in an actual war since Vietnam. There’s a lot of mythology that’s been built up that leads people to think that American power is invincible, but now we’re seeing it actually tested by an adversary that can fight back. I don’t think we’ll be seeing any triumph of the will here. Material reality always wins and it’s not on America’s side this time around.
Iraq 1 and 2? Afghanistan? Anyway we see how that turned out. And I’m not sure either state is better off, despite USA planning ineptitude. I just pray you’re right, and you may well be.
These aren’t even remotely comparable. Iraq had 70s Soviet technology, while Afghanistan didn’t even have that. These are precisely the kinds of wars the US military is configured for where the opponent can’t hit back. Iran is technologically on par with the US, and even surpasses it in some areas like hypersonic weapons. The US has no equivalent to Iranian drones either which it’s forced to intercept with multi million dollar missiles. We can already see how Iran has been able to hit US assets all over the region, and the US can’t do a thing about it.
If you look at the size of Iran it becomes quite obvious that the US can’t possibly bomb enough of it to even make a dent in Iran’s industrial capacity. This is going to be a war of attrition with Iran fighting on its home turf while the US is forced to ship what meager weapons it’s still able to produce all the way across the ocean.
Not to mention that Iran also has land routes to both Russia and China that go through friendly territory. So it will be getting all the material support it needs, the same way Ukraine currently gets support from NATO.
This is a little encouraging. I pray you are right.