Jeremy Scahill and Murtaza Hussain
Feb 18, 2026

A former senior U.S. intelligence official who is an informal advisor to the Trump administration on Middle East policy told Drop Site that, based on his discussions with current officials, he assesses an 80-90% likelihood of U.S. strikes within weeks.

Iran realizes that it is facing an unprecedented threat from the U.S. if a deal that conforms with Trump’s terms is not reached, former Pentagon official Jasmine El-Gamal told Drop Site. “This is not a dress rehearsal,” she said. “This is it. This is not the negotiations of last year or the year before or the year before that. They’re backed into a corner. There’s no off ramp.”

  • Alcoholicorn@mander.xyz
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    16 hours ago

    Iran had put their centrifuges in a cascade

    That’s how any uranium enrichment works, each centrifuge only enriches the uranium by like .3%. They have a cascade that enriches to 60%, which is what the NPT allows. Weapons grade is 90%.

      • Alcoholicorn@mander.xyz
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        3 hours ago

        60% was chosen as the limit for the NPT because it has non-weapons purpose and cannot be used to create a bomb without a shitton more refinement.

        • couldhavebeenyou@lemmy.zip
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          2 hours ago

          Can you give a source where 60% “was chosen”?

          It seems you’re sidestepping because you’ve been caught in a lie

          (Also, 60 to 90 does not a shitton more refinement need ;-) )